Allocated a budget for sports betting. I partnered with a specialist from the niche. And now I’m launching a public betting experiment in order to diversify the content of the blog, paying more attention to entertainment content. But there will be information for webmasters as well.
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- Short preface
- Bids for the first week (11.10.24 – 18.10.24)
- Ottawa Senators – Florida Panthers
- MHC Dynamo Moscow – SKA
- Torpedo-Gorky Izhstal
- Amur Lada
- Kazakhstan – Slovenia
- Vegas Golden Knights – Anaheim Ducks
- Tractor – Avangard&#nbsp;
- Ottawa Senators – Los Angeles Kings
- Barys – Salavat Yulaev
- AIK – Jurgarden
- Admiral – Lada
- Tractor – Salavat Yulaev
- Conclusion
A short preface
The world of sports events (and betting on them) today opens up good opportunities for earning money. With a thorough approach and sufficient mathematical calculations, you are quite able to earn money from almost any sporting event.
So this month I decided to roll into the sports betting niche. The initial capital so far starts at $250 (which I earned on casino streamers). This money will run out, I think, in about a week. Then, if anything, I’ll add it.
The main feature of this experiment will be zero personal immersion in the sports on which bets are placed. I won’t be watching matches, reading predictions or anything else like that. Instead, the key source of information will be statistics provided by the bookmaker himself directly during the match. It includes performance both in the current game and past team meetings.
The bookmaker’s coefficient of “1.4” (in my subjective opinion) corresponds to a 50% probability of an event. But if the coefficient is “+ 5” for the opposite outcome, and about “+ 4” for a draw, you can bet much more confidently on these 50%. After all, the ratio of odds to win is at the level of “1/3.6”. Thus, if you look for matches whose probability of opposite results differs several times, you can regularly bet on a positive mathematical expectation.
Bets for the first week (11.10.24 – 18.10.24)
The first week was a warm-up. So there was all sorts of stuff going on. Everything will be more strict from now on.
I placed bets in FONBET.
Ottawa Senators – Florida Panthers
The first bet was made not according to the main strategy and the day before the start of the main experiment. Still, it was part of the starting budget, so it’s worth mentioning at least.
It was made in advance, a few hours before the start of the game. During the match, I did not follow what was happening and could not even sell the bet, even if it was much cheaper.
Result: -5,000 rubles.
MHC Dynamo Moscow
The second bet that day was already much more thoughtful. It took place at the beginning of the third period. The bet was made on the total number of face-offs per match. There were 41 of them in the first two periods, and I bet that at least 11 more would happen in the third. The coefficient was 1.33, and the chance of an event was extremely likely.
Result: +1,650 rubles.
Torpedo-Gorky
The next day, I chose another match in order to bet on the total number of face-offs. It was also performed at the beginning of the third period. There were 47 faceoffs in the first two periods. And although the probability that 22 more face-offs would occur in the third period was not too high, the coefficient compensated for this disadvantage. As a result, a couple of minutes before the end of the match, this bet was played.
Result: +2,860 rubles.
Amur – Lada
A new day and new bets. At the very end of the match, literally two minutes before the end of regular time, I bet that there would be no more goals. The only goal came in the third period, and the chance of success seemed high enough. At the same time, the 1.85 coefficient looked extremely attractive. However, this is another disadvantage in the statistics.
Result: -4.510 rub.
Kazakhstan– Slovenia
At that moment, somewhat doubting his actions, he went to another tab